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Crunch time for Evans

20 July 2008 | 16:48 - Jesse Fink

My kingdom for anyone who can describe what is going through Cadel Evans's mind right now as the Tour enters the big mountains.

Comments (55) | Your thoughts?

Not that my kingdom is much. A rumpled bed. Some books. Half a watermelon in the fridge. But a sports fan, even a fair-weather cycling one, couldn't ask for much more than the scenario going into Stage 15, Embrun to Prato-Nevoso, the first 183km of what looms as some serious legend-defining days for the Australian who is still clinging on to that nervous one-second lead.

A chokingly nervous one-second lead, mind, over Frank Schleck, who is an accomplished climber in his own right, having won a stage in the Alpe d'Huez in 2006 over Damiano Cunego (currently 14th). His brother Andy, who also rides for CSC, is back in 20th place and was anointed the pre-race favourite for this stage that ventures well (and rather spectacularly) into the Piedmont region of Italy and busts a gasket on the hors catégorie Col Agnel at 2744 metres, 500 metres higher than Kosciuszko after just 58 kilometres of riding.

Danish outfit CSC, which also has Spaniard Carlos Sastre currently lying in sixth, 1:28 behind Evans, is going all-out for a stage win tonight and my fellow SBS blogger John Flynn has flagged the widespread concerns over Evans's team Silence-Lotto, which he's not sure has "the hardware for an all-out firefight on the Alpine slopes" up against CSC.

In the latest issue of the American cycling magazine Pro Cycling, writer and cyclist Daniel Friebe calls the run-in to Prato-Nevoso "death by bicycle". The pace will breakneck from the start to reach the col and set up the platform for a fly to the finish line. This is no job for the fainthearted.

There's a great passage in Graeme Fife's book Tour de France about what's required to win – or even keep up – in the mountains. "No rider, not even the strongest, can match the natural fluency of the gifted climbers. When the pace accelerates on to the mountain and the high-flyers mount like weightless creatures and leave the rest of the field trailing with shaky legs and bursting with lungs, the men with any ambition have to hang on by raw power and unshakeable self belief; or lose."

Fortunately for Australia, Evans is tougher than the bullbar on a Top End ute so it's worth bearing in mind this is just the first of three stages in the Alps. As a former world mountain-bike champion, you would have to give Evans a very good shot to hold his own over the course of all three - Stage 16, Cuneo to Jausiers, is 157km but has not one but two HCs in the 2351m Col de la Lombarde and the 2802m Cime de la Bonette-Restefond, while Stage 17 is the big one, the Alpe d'Huez, 210.5km from Embrun with no less than three (count them out, three) HCs.

So often armchair fans of this great race are told the Tour de France is won or lost in the mountains so the next four days are absolutely crucial for Evans. If he can come through Stage 17 with the yellow jersey still on his back, and Frank Schleck still riding his slipstream, nothing short of a zombie attack will stop Silence-Lotto from pulling out the specially made canary-coloured bike they had made for Evans for his triumphal march into Paris.

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Your Comments

  • 21 Jul 2008 15:19 AEST

    Rusty from Sydney

    Congrats to Simon! Fantastic opportunity, fantastic ride. BAd Luck Cadel - you're going to have to pull out something special, though, to be a Tour winner. On Popovych- it's not all his fault, you know. I've wondered about his form, too, but after seeing the close bonding in teams like Columbia and CSC, I wonder if he's not been able to integrate with Lotto team, who don't seem the warmest, most open group - I've never seen Cadel hugging his teammates, either. Maybe he's just shy, maybe not

    I Agree (9 people agree)
    I Disagree (6 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 15:11 AEST

    jeanie from darwin

    I could'nt watch the last stages of the mountain climb.To heart-wrenching to watch the boy in yellow. Geeze Cadel put some fire into the bellies of your boys. 1.15am in the morning and I'm hiding behind the couch. 8 seconds,do it mate...

    I Agree (10 people agree)
    I Disagree (3 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 15:05 AEST

    johnyirish from Melbourne

    all's going just about to plan now for Evans. getting yellow early while pouring on the pressure also gives him the experience having it. and lets face it unless the other's blow out too 80-120 seconds Evans is sure to get it back on the 50km time trail.

    I Agree (5 people agree)
    I Disagree (4 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 14:11 AEST

    Andrew from Sydney

    If Cadel goes on to win this it will be a truly remarkable victory. If not, it would be an incredible lack of forsight from team management not to have predicted the Alps would be the team's achilles heal. Why did they recruit a support team of such poor climbers? They must have know well ahead of time they were not going to support Robbie for sprint finishes. So in the end they cannot help either!! Go Cadel!

    I Agree (26 people agree)
    I Disagree (4 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 13:24 AEST

    Bobby from Brisbane

    Evans need not to worry About Frank Schleck or Sastre, it's Kohl and Menchov he needs to watch they can time trail, Menchov is in good form he showed it on stage 15, Evans needs to stay with Menchov, limit his losses to the others and win it in the T.T.

    I Agree (14 people agree)
    I Disagree (4 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 12:41 AEST

    Jo from Gold Coast

    I've been watching the coverage for the first time with the captions turned on and volume off so it doesn't wake my husband and toddler. Trying to keep up with the reading and decipher some of the words has added a new dimension to the viewing - it's been exciting and last night was superb. You can hear the emotion and tension even with the sound off!Keep up the great coverage and thanks to SBS our free to air saviour. Vive le Cadel! Go you good thing!

    I Agree (9 people agree)
    I Disagree (2 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 12:37 AEST

    Aldad from Canberra

    Australia has a recent proud history in the Tour (maillot jaune holders, stage winners, points class winners, now a mountain stage winner & a possible GC winner in 2008). Isn't it about time Australia raised its own team to take on the worlds best? Surely there's an Aussie sponsor out there who would be keen for face time on the world stage (eg QANTAS, BHP). The team could be all Australian, like the all spaniard EUS team, or a mix. C'mon lobby for an Aussie team. We have the talent & depth.

    I Agree (39 people agree)
    I Disagree (4 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 12:24 AEST

    Paul from Perth

    Some respect please, Cadel with one "l" not two. "Cometh the hour, cometh the man." Cadel pour le maillot jaune en Paris!

    I Agree (2 people agree)
    I Disagree (1 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 12:04 AEST

    Darren from Syney from Australia

    Well done to cadel and to simon, you both have had a fantatsic tour, Cadel along with team mate Robbie have done an amazing job of hanging onto the 1 sec lead for this long, but given the strength of the other teams and the protection they can offer their strongest rider it is better to put the target onto another rider for a while and let Cadel ride. Well done to Robbie for his efforts in the hills Simon fantastic job last night, go you little ripper.

    I Agree (3 people agree)
    I Disagree (0 people disagree)

  • 21 Jul 2008 11:35 AEST

    Marco from Mount Martha

    Congratultions to Simon, fantastic ride , the Aussie grit showing through again. I hope that Silence Lotto has a pay back clause for Yaroslav Popovych , he is proving as much use as an ashtray on a motorbike!!

    I Agree (35 people agree)
    I Disagree (0 people disagree)

Last Updated: 28 Jul 02:59 (AET)

1

Carlos SASTRE ESP CSC 87:52:52

2

Cadel EVANS AUS SIL 87:53:50

3

Bernhard KOHL AUT GST 87:54:05

4

Denis MENCHOV RUS RAB 87:55:02

5

Christian VANDEVELDE USA TSL 87:55:57

Jersey Holders See all Standing

  • Carlos Sastre
  • Bernhard Kohl
  • Oscar Freire
  • Andy Schleck
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